Calamity
CriticalSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 46

Severe Weather in United States

MarshallUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 8 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 18 May 2026 at 22:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 30 recorded within 20 km of this point since 11 April 2026 — 6 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 11 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued May 18 at 4:56PM CDT until May 18 at 5:15PM CDT by NWS Topeka KS

Nearby, since 11 April 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 8 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 46 out of 100, at 69 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityCritical
Calamity Score (ours)46 / 100
Our confidence69%
Coordinates39.9935, -96.2408
Nearest CityManhattan (95 km)
Impact Tierminor
Timestamp2026-05-18T21:56:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Tornado Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b8eaba36a4d8ce128c3963a5887fdf64

Score Breakdown

95
intensity
0
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventTornado Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescClay, KS; Dickinson, KS; Nemaha, NE; Pawnee, NE and 4 more areas
HeadlineTornado Warning issued May 18 at 4:56PM CDT until May 18 at 5:15PM CDT by NWS Topeka KS
Expires2026-05-18T17:15:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Topeka KS
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount8
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b8eaba36a4d8ce128c3963a5887fdf64afaa8fb7.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9e5ec5f900ec52b2996f2e17253a77909568fa6c.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ba44a773395c1060a2c43c8592cef5122f604ae4.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8d22c0a6b13dd37614c7b1c9048a30efd6e65bdf.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4fe47bf0f09968cda526d02e88cf481d1871f2d6.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.30de72950dabd3a60ebb234f9f02bd261f958e66.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.eeca16931f461ea7da101ce306064a15886c62d3.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1eb075008f87a40dbc851104bfb6faea21f47a9d.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryG
Iem Magnitude81
Iem UnitMPH
Iem City3 ESE Lewiston
Iem CountyPawnee
Iem StateNE
Iem WfoOAX
Iem RemarkCaller reported an 81 mph wind gust measured from a personal weather station. Also reported 6 to 8 inch diameter tree limbs broken.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_H_40.210_-96.350_1779138660000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779138660000,"latitude":40.21,"longitude":-96.35},{"id":"iem_H_40.000_-96.350_1779138900000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779138900000,"latitude":40,"longitude":-96.35},{"id":"iem_G_40.410_-95.860_1779140040000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779140040000,"latitude":40.41,"longitude":-95.86},{"id":"iem_G_40.350_-96.050_1779138720000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779138720000,"latitude":40.35,"longitude":-96.05},{"id":"iem_G_40.360_-96.390_1779137760000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779137760000,"latitude":40.36,"longitude":-96.39},{"id":"iem_T_40.050_-96.240_1779140700000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779140700000,"latitude":40.05,"longitude":-96.24},{"id":"iem_G_40.220_-96.350_1779137220000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779137220000,"latitude":40.22,"longitude":-96.35}]

Safety Information

If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 46/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.